ADA Price Prediction: Can Cardano Reach $1 Amid Technical Divergence and Network Challenges?

#ADA

• Bullish MACD divergence suggests potential upward momentum despite current price below moving average
• Network chain split and FBI involvement create uncertainty but founder reassurance provides some stability
• Bollinger Band positioning indicates oversold conditions that could support technical rebound toward $0.50 resistance

ADA Price Prediction

ADA Technical Analysis Shows Bullish Divergence Pattern

According to BTCC financial analyst James, ADA is currently trading at $0.4284, below its 20-day moving average of $0.4942. The MACD indicator shows a positive reading of 0.072613 with the signal line at 0.057001, indicating bullish momentum. The Bollinger Bands position ADA NEAR the lower band at $0.3710, suggesting potential oversold conditions that could lead to a technical rebound toward the middle band at $0.4942.

Mixed Sentiment Emerges Amid Cardano Network Developments

BTCC financial analyst James notes that while Cardano faces its first major chain split in eight years with FBI involvement, founder Hoskinson has dismissed network failure rumors as mere node issues. The emergence of bullish divergence patterns coincides with key support tests, creating a complex sentiment landscape where technical strength may overcome short-term negative news flow.

Factors Influencing ADA's Price

Cardano Price Prediction: Bullish Divergence Emerges Amid Key Support Test

Cardano's ADA shows tentative signs of stabilization after weeks of relentless selling pressure. The digital asset now hovers near a historically significant support zone, with technical indicators flashing early signals of bearish exhaustion. Market participants await confirmation of whether this level can catalyze a reversal toward the $0.50-$0.60 range.

Momentum remains fragile despite oversold conditions. Analysts note ADA lacks the decisive strength signals that preceded previous recoveries. Trend Rider's chart analysis reveals the daily price structure remains weak, suggesting premature long positions could face violent liquidation risks. The absence of confirmed buying pressure leaves the door open for further downside.

Weekly charts depict a concerning bear flag breakdown, extending ADA's downtrend. Until the asset demonstrates sustained holding power at current levels—and forms a clear reaction pattern—traders remain cautious. The coming sessions will prove critical in determining whether this is merely a pause in the selloff or the foundation for meaningful recovery.

Cardano's First Major Chain Split in Eight Years Triggers FBI Involvement

Cardano's blockchain experienced an unprecedented chain split on November 21, 2025, when a meticulously crafted transaction exposed a critical flaw in its network software. The incident, the first of its kind in eight years, temporarily bifurcated the network into two competing chains before operators swiftly intervened to restore stability.

The disruption originated from an individual's experimental transaction, later admitted as a personal challenge conducted without proper testing. Intersect, a key Cardano ecosystem organization, reported the anomaly at 08:00 UTC, occurring just one day after a similar event was observed on the Preview testnet.

Charles Hoskinson confirmed the matter has been escalated to law enforcement, including FBI involvement. This rare network vulnerability highlights the evolving challenges of maintaining blockchain integrity as adoption grows.

Cardano Founder Hoskinson Dismisses Network Failure Rumors as Node Issue

Charles Hoskinson moved swiftly to quell speculation about Cardano's network stability after reports of a slowdown sparked unfounded rumors of a protocol failure. The founder clarified the incident stemmed from an edge case in node implementation—not a flaw in Cardano's blockchain architecture.

Hoskinson's public rebuttal included a 'Myths vs Facts' breakdown, emphasizing the network's resilience. Stake Pool Operators identified and resolved the issue within hours, demonstrating the decentralized network's capacity to self-correct under pressure.

The response highlights Cardano's commitment to transparency amid market chatter. Earlier this year, Hoskinson similarly debunked misinformation about the project's treasury management—a pattern of proactive communication that reinforces investor confidence in the ADA ecosystem.

Will ADA Price Hit 1?

Based on current technical indicators and market sentiment analyzed by BTCC financial analyst James, ADA faces significant challenges to reach $1 in the near term. The current price of $0.4284 requires approximately 133% growth to achieve this target. While bullish divergence patterns and oversold conditions suggest potential upward movement, the $1 level represents substantial resistance that would require both technical breakout and positive fundamental developments.